Countdown to Extinction: The 2016 Presidential Election

Started by Todd, April 07, 2015, 10:07:58 AM

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(poco) Sforzando

Quote from: Todd on April 06, 2016, 06:58:08 AM

Rational people knew long before the Daily News interview.

Despite the obvious personal insult in that comment, I was well aware of that myself and said so when I commented last month.
"I don't know what sforzando means, though it clearly means something."

Florestan

Sometimes I wonder who is more dangerous, a clueless outsider or a business-as-usual insider?  ;D
"Beauty must appeal to the senses, must provide us with immediate enjoyment, must impress us or insinuate itself into us without any effort on our part. ." — Claude Debussy

Karl Henning

Quote from: Florestan on April 06, 2016, 07:10:45 AM
Sometimes I wonder who is more dangerous, a clueless outsider or a business-as-usual insider?  ;D

That's sort of the dynamic this year . . . .
Karl Henning, Ph.D.
Composer & Clarinetist
Boston MA
http://www.karlhenning.com/
[Matisse] was interested neither in fending off opposition,
nor in competing for the favor of wayward friends.
His only competition was with himself. — Françoise Gilot

Todd

Quote from: Florestan on April 06, 2016, 07:10:45 AM
Sometimes I wonder who is more dangerous, a clueless outsider or a business-as-usual insider?  ;D


Clueless outsider is worst.  (Trump.)  Clueless insider is next worst.  (Sanders, unless you think a senator is an outsider.)  Conniving insider is next worst.  (Cruz.)  Business-as-usual insiders are least worst.  (Clinton, Kasich.)
The universe is change; life is opinion. - Marcus Aurelius, Meditations

People would rather believe than know - E.O. Wilson

Propaganda death ensemble - Tom Araya

Florestan

Quote from: Todd on April 06, 2016, 07:15:29 AM

Clueless outsider is worst.  (Trump.)  Clueless insider is next worst.  (Sanders, unless you think a senator is an outsider.)  Conniving insider is next worst.  (Cruz.)  Business-as-usual insiders are least worst.  (Clinton, Kasich.)

Nice line up.  :D

So the final race will be between the worst and the least worst. IOW, bad anyway.  :D
"Beauty must appeal to the senses, must provide us with immediate enjoyment, must impress us or insinuate itself into us without any effort on our part. ." — Claude Debussy

Todd

Quote from: Florestan on April 06, 2016, 07:24:04 AM
So the final race will be between the worst and the least worst. IOW, bad anyway.  :D


There is still a chance that an open convention on the Republican side could result in two least-worst candidates duking it out.  Dream little dreams
The universe is change; life is opinion. - Marcus Aurelius, Meditations

People would rather believe than know - E.O. Wilson

Propaganda death ensemble - Tom Araya

Karl Henning

Quote from: Todd on April 06, 2016, 07:15:29 AM

Clueless outsider is worst.  (Trump.)  Clueless insider is next worst.  (Sanders, unless you think a senator is an outsider.)  Conniving insider is next worst.  (Cruz.)  Business-as-usual insiders are least worst.  (Clinton, Kasich.)
An honest difference of opinion, but I think the conniving insider is worse than the clueless insider. Then again, I'd probably classify both Clinton and Cruz as conniving insiders.
Karl Henning, Ph.D.
Composer & Clarinetist
Boston MA
http://www.karlhenning.com/
[Matisse] was interested neither in fending off opposition,
nor in competing for the favor of wayward friends.
His only competition was with himself. — Françoise Gilot

Karl Henning

Karl Henning, Ph.D.
Composer & Clarinetist
Boston MA
http://www.karlhenning.com/
[Matisse] was interested neither in fending off opposition,
nor in competing for the favor of wayward friends.
His only competition was with himself. — Françoise Gilot

Todd

Quote from: karlhenning on April 06, 2016, 07:34:29 AMAn honest difference of opinion, but I think the conniving insider is worse than the clueless insider.


Cruz does make it hard to offer a vigorous argument against your ranking.
The universe is change; life is opinion. - Marcus Aurelius, Meditations

People would rather believe than know - E.O. Wilson

Propaganda death ensemble - Tom Araya

drogulus

     
Quote from: Todd on April 06, 2016, 07:15:29 AM

Clueless outsider is worst.  (Trump.)  Clueless insider is next worst.  (Sanders, unless you think a senator is an outsider.)  Conniving insider is next worst.  (Cruz.)  Business-as-usual insiders are least worst.  (Clinton, Kasich.)

     We'll never know since we'll only get one of them. I don't assume a Trump Presidency would be as bad as Trump. It would change the way the rest of the government reacts to his attempted use of his powers, should they depart from the norms. Sanders might surprise us, since he'd have a party behind him for much of what he wants to do. Liberal Presidents do manage to get Dems to go a little father than centrists, partly because centrism is mostly positioning for both parties. Then there's the question of where the House goes in terms of party representation. I don't expect the Dems to take the House, but significant Repub erosion might give party leaders reason to conduct Autopsy II, and this time take it a little more seriously than they did in after 2012.

     In actual practice Cruz would face the same difficulties that Ryan faces now. He'll either be eaten alive by his own Freedom Caucus or......but he's not Ryan, he's more rigid. He can't govern with the crazies, and so far he doesn't appear to be inclined to govern without them. The other thing to consider is that a Cruz Presidency might mean validation of the far right and an increase in their power. This strikes me as an implausible course of events. A far right shift would mean Americans want more conflict to no good end, not what the rise of Trump/Sanders indicates voters want, the resolution of big issues important to their respective camps.

     Hillary is the safest choice. She'll do what's expected almost all the time, probably communicate more effectively with the legislators than the Kenyan Introvert did, see the sense of moving to enact what she and Sanders share in the way of ideas of economic progress, and provide about as much warmongering as Americans can tolerate.
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Todd

Quote from: drogulus on April 06, 2016, 08:43:35 AMWe'll never know since we'll only get one of them.


It's theoretically possible that two of them could serve.  Trump/Cruz could segue to a Cruz/? administration in the future.  I could also come into enough money to retain Mossack Fonseca.
The universe is change; life is opinion. - Marcus Aurelius, Meditations

People would rather believe than know - E.O. Wilson

Propaganda death ensemble - Tom Araya

Brian

I'm still hoping the convention results in Trump and Cruz getting in a literal fistfight...speaking of dreaming...

Florestan

Quote from: Brian on April 07, 2016, 04:35:30 AM
I'm still hoping the convention results in Trump and Cruz getting in a literal fistfight...speaking of dreaming...

Dream big: why fistfight when they could use guns...
"Beauty must appeal to the senses, must provide us with immediate enjoyment, must impress us or insinuate itself into us without any effort on our part. ." — Claude Debussy

Gurn Blanston

Quote from: Florestan on April 07, 2016, 04:44:25 AM
Dream big: why fistfight when they could use guns...

There you go, that's what I'm talkin' about!! I'm all over that!  :)   >:D

8)
Visit my Haydn blog: HaydnSeek

Haydn: that genius of vulgar music who induces an inordinate thirst for beer - Mily Balakirev (1860)

Brian


Karl Henning

Karl Henning, Ph.D.
Composer & Clarinetist
Boston MA
http://www.karlhenning.com/
[Matisse] was interested neither in fending off opposition,
nor in competing for the favor of wayward friends.
His only competition was with himself. — Françoise Gilot

(poco) Sforzando

Don't mess with New Yorkers, Ted:



"New York Values" Ted was told to "get out of the Bronx," and had to cancel a school visit after students complained. Earlier:



Gotta love this city.
"I don't know what sforzando means, though it clearly means something."

Florestan

Quote from: (poco) Sforzando on April 06, 2016, 06:41:01 AM
I fear that Boinie is the Democratic counterpart to Trump, offering lots of big talk and pie-in-the-sky revolutionary changes without the slightest idea how or even if they can be implemented.

Given the massive support this Sanders gets from people 19 to 35 years old, does anyone have any doubt that eventually a Sanders will win the US Presidency?  ;D
"Beauty must appeal to the senses, must provide us with immediate enjoyment, must impress us or insinuate itself into us without any effort on our part. ." — Claude Debussy

Gurn Blanston

Quote from: (poco) Sforzando on April 06, 2016, 06:41:01 AM
Why I won't vote for Boinie:
http://tinyurl.com/zotx2lv

I fear that Boinie is the Democratic counterpart to Trump, offering lots of big talk and pie-in-the-sky revolutionary changes without the slightest idea how or even if they can be implemented.

Poco, have you seen the ads Bernie is running now on TV? He runs down a list of what he considers issues; banks have too much power, top 1% making all the money, workers taking the hit, yada yada; then this "And that's my plan to help out the working class". Hell, that's not a plan, it's a list of goals to correct perceived offenses.

Here in Texas Bernie hasn't done any advertising so this is the first time I've seen his ads. I didn't know they were just a whine list. I don't think I would order off that list!

8)

(PS - all my "local" news comes from NYC because of satellite, I have no true locals. Thank god for that, too!)
Visit my Haydn blog: HaydnSeek

Haydn: that genius of vulgar music who induces an inordinate thirst for beer - Mily Balakirev (1860)

(poco) Sforzando

Quote from: Florestan on April 08, 2016, 04:46:59 AM
Given the massive support this Sanders gets from people 19 to 35 years old, does anyone have any doubt that eventually a Sanders will win the US Presidency?  ;D

You're assuming these 19-35 year olds will never grow up. Actually, probably a safe assumption.
"I don't know what sforzando means, though it clearly means something."