Hurricane Irma - the final blow to Texas? [closed-see new thread]

Started by Scion7, September 03, 2017, 06:03:18 AM

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Scion7



Assuming it doesn't veer N/NE and exterminate Devon and Somerset, could this storm be the hammer-blow that destroys Gurn's Haydn collection?
Where is Superman???!?    ???
Saint-Saëns, who predicted to Charles Lecocq in 1901: 'That fellow Ravel seems to me to be destined for a serious future.'

Mirror Image

I think it's too early to tell what it's going to do. Hurricanes are unpredictable. All they can do is continue to chart it's development right now.

amw

Irma is more likely to hit Haiti/Dominican Republic and the Atlantic coast if it makes landfall anywhere at all. Texas will probably be fine (for now).

Gurn Blanston

Quote from: Scion7 on September 03, 2017, 06:03:18 AM


Assuming it doesn't veer N/NE and exterminate Devon and Somerset, could this storm be the hammer-blow that destroys Gurn's Haydn collection?
Where is Superman???!?    ???

Nah, Texas and Haydn are bigger than any 2 storms. Actually, it will veer northwest quite a bit, possibly hitting the east coast of the US, but not for certain. I would say that for it to come here would be poor timing. However, we got Katrina and Rita here within the same month, so we know how to take a storm. I would be more concerned right now if I was John... :-\

8)
Visit my Haydn blog: HaydnSeek

Haydn: that genius of vulgar music who induces an inordinate thirst for beer - Mily Balakirev (1860)

Spineur

It is still early to have a reliable trajectory.  According to the meteologists it has a fair chance to hit florida, and the odds it may hit lousiana and texas are for the time being small.
Unfortunately the climate change will make these hurricane more and more powerful.  They are heat engine and the hotter the ocean gets the more energy is fed into them.  Inescapable consequence of thermodynamics.

kishnevi

Quote from: Gurn Blanston on September 03, 2017, 07:46:48 AM
Nah, Texas and Haydn are bigger than any 2 storms. Actually, it will veer northwest quite a bit, possibly hitting the east coast of the US, but not for certain. I would say that for it to come here would be poor timing. However, we got Katrina and Rita here within the same month, so we know how to take a storm. I would be more concerned right now if I was John... :-\

8)

Never mind John. He's inland.  I'm 12 miles inland from the Florida coast!

Mirror Image

Quote from: Gurn Blanston on September 03, 2017, 07:46:48 AM
Nah, Texas and Haydn are bigger than any 2 storms. Actually, it will veer northwest quite a bit, possibly hitting the east coast of the US, but not for certain. I would say that for it to come here would be poor timing. However, we got Katrina and Rita here within the same month, so we know how to take a storm. I would be more concerned right now if I was John... :-\

8)

As Jeffrey correctly points out, I'm inland and in mountainous country. 8)

Gurn Blanston

Quote from: Mirror Image on September 03, 2017, 08:34:19 AM
As Jeffrey correctly points out, I'm inland and in mountainous country. 8)

If you are (as I thought) in Atlanta, I don't imagine you are out of range of a truly large hurricane. I am 175 miles from the coast, and since I have lived here we have been badly affected (rain) several times and outright run over twice (Rita and Ike).  Just pointing out the possibility. Also, we are in the 400'+ above sea level, not exactly 'mountainous' but not sea level by a long shot either!  :o

8)
Visit my Haydn blog: HaydnSeek

Haydn: that genius of vulgar music who induces an inordinate thirst for beer - Mily Balakirev (1860)

Gurn Blanston

Quote from: Jeffrey Smith on September 03, 2017, 08:14:20 AM
Never mind John. He's inland.  I'm 12 miles inland from the Florida coast!

I only picked him because he had already posted in this thread. Indeed, if it decides to run over Florida, well, that's what it's gonna do. I already took part in one Florida evacuation (Ivan in 2006(?)) from Greater Tampa, and I know what a freaking ordeal it is. I wouldn't hesitate to get a head start if it's lookin' like it... :-\

8)
Visit my Haydn blog: HaydnSeek

Haydn: that genius of vulgar music who induces an inordinate thirst for beer - Mily Balakirev (1860)

Scion7


"I'm sorry, Mr. Gurn, but we have sent you several letters over the past 8 months strongly warning you to get flood insurance on your policy.  Therefore, your $6800 claim against your Haydn music collection must be ... denied.



. . . No ... NO!  That's impossible!!!  Nooooooooooooo . . .
Saint-Saëns, who predicted to Charles Lecocq in 1901: 'That fellow Ravel seems to me to be destined for a serious future.'

Gurn Blanston

Quote from: Scion7 on September 03, 2017, 10:30:53 PM

"I'm sorry, Mr. Gurn, but we have sent you several letters over the past 8 months strongly warning you to get flood insurance on your policy.  Therefore, your $6800 claim against your Haydn music collection must be ... denied.



. . . No ... NO!  That's impossible!!!  Nooooooooooooo . . .

$6800? That's just what I told my wife...  >:D

The track of this thing looks interesting, once it clears that HI in the Atlantic, it looks like it's gonna hang a sharp right and bowl right into Florida. Be nice if it stayed offshore... :-\

8)
Visit my Haydn blog: HaydnSeek

Haydn: that genius of vulgar music who induces an inordinate thirst for beer - Mily Balakirev (1860)

Spineur

#11
Current forcast:

French Caribbean->Porto Rico->Haiti Domincan Republic->Cuba->Florida
Wont get to Florida (it it gets there) until next Sunday


Mirror Image

Quote from: Gurn Blanston on September 03, 2017, 08:53:07 AM
If you are (as I thought) in Atlanta, I don't imagine you are out of range of a truly large hurricane. I am 175 miles from the coast, and since I have lived here we have been badly affected (rain) several times and outright run over twice (Rita and Ike).  Just pointing out the possibility. Also, we are in the 400'+ above sea level, not exactly 'mountainous' but not sea level by a long shot either!  :o

8)

I don't live in Atlanta (thankfully), but I'm about 56 miles NE of the city and about 310 miles from the eastern coast. We get rain and thunderstorms, which pop up mainly in the spring through early autumn sporadically, but if the hurricane hits Charleston, SC for example, we'd get the rain, but very little else I'd imagine.

Karl Henning

Quote from: Jeffrey Smith on September 03, 2017, 08:14:20 AM
Never mind John. He's inland.  I'm 12 miles inland from the Florida coast!

Stay dry, friend!
Karl Henning, Ph.D.
Composer & Clarinetist
Boston MA
http://www.karlhenning.com/
[Matisse] was interested neither in fending off opposition,
nor in competing for the favor of wayward friends.
His only competition was with himself. — Françoise Gilot


Gurn Blanston

Quote from: Mirror Image on September 04, 2017, 09:56:33 AM
I don't live in Atlanta (thankfully), but I'm about 56 miles NE of the city and about 310 miles from the eastern coast. We get rain and thunderstorms, which pop up mainly in the spring through early autumn sporadically, but if the hurricane hits Charleston, SC for example, we'd get the rain, but very little else I'd imagine.

Ah, I have a good mental picture of that area. I used to fly into Atlanta and do business, then rent a a car and drive through Athens to Newberry SC. Yes, you are back there a ways. Nice country around there too. It would be a pity, wunnit, if sumpin' was to 'appen to it...  :D

8)
Visit my Haydn blog: HaydnSeek

Haydn: that genius of vulgar music who induces an inordinate thirst for beer - Mily Balakirev (1860)

Mirror Image

Quote from: Gurn Blanston on September 04, 2017, 12:19:17 PM
Ah, I have a good mental picture of that area. I used to fly into Atlanta and do business, then rent a a car and drive through Athens to Newberry SC. Yes, you are back there a ways. Nice country around there too. It would be a pity, wunnit, if sumpin' was to 'appen to it...  :D

8)

Very cool, Gurn. 8) It'd be a pity if something happened to any land of beauty.

Gurn Blanston

Quote from: Mirror Image on September 04, 2017, 12:22:39 PM
Very cool, Gurn. 8) It'd be a pity if something happened to any land of beauty.


Couldn't agree more. Y'all have some damned impressive trees there, I must say. We lost a couple million acres back in Ike (2008). What a blow!  :o

8)
Visit my Haydn blog: HaydnSeek

Haydn: that genius of vulgar music who induces an inordinate thirst for beer - Mily Balakirev (1860)

snyprrr

I get it! Texas must be full of nazis and white supreamers :laugh: That's what they get for open carry

Scion7

It's still too early for an accurate forecast of the track, but a little while ago the 'middle' prediction was Cuba and then into the Gulf . . . aackk!   ???
Saint-Saëns, who predicted to Charles Lecocq in 1901: 'That fellow Ravel seems to me to be destined for a serious future.'