And They're Off! The Democratic Candidates for 2020

[Florestan]

     Wise choice, I'd say.

     To this day it's widely believed that hyperinflation was responsible for Hitler, and not the more proximate deflation/depression that created 7 million unemployed in Germany.

Before the crash, 1.25 million people were unemployed in Germany. By the end of 1930 the figure had reached nearly 4 million, 15.3 per cent of the population. Even those in work suffered as many were only working part-time. With the drop in demand for labour, wages also fell and those with full-time work had to survive on lower incomes. Hitler, who was considered a fool in 1928 when he predicted economic disaster, was now seen in a different light. People began to say that if he was clever enough to predict the depression maybe he also knew how to solve it.

By 1932 over 30 per cent of the German workforce was unemployed. In the 1933 Election campaign, Adolf Hitler promised that if he gained power he would abolish unemployment.

     As is the case today, it's not the crash that creates the political crisis, it's the response to it. Brüning didn't create the depression, he deepened it. It was deflation as policy that did Germany in.

I still disagree with your reductionist economism. It's not Bruning who did the Weimar Republic in; its soon-to-come doom was writ large since the very beginning. The main reasons and circumstances which caused and favored Hitler's ascension to power were political, social and cultural rather than economic and were all present long before Bruning became chancellor. But as I said, this is widely off topic.

[Karl Henning]

Vermont is projected for Bernie, which is in no wise a surprise.

Virginia appears to be projected for Biden, which may a post-SC bump portend.

[Karl Henning]

And they've called No. Carolina for Biden.  A strong start.

[Karl Henning]

My Super Tuesday ballot had 20 candidates for President. Some recent or not so recent drop-outs, others I have never heard of. Daffy Duck didn't get enough signatures to qualify, apparently. I decided to vote my real preference, rather than the stop Sanders (Biden) candidate. Elizabeth Warren.

Good on ya!

[Karl Henning]

"Biden is now about twice as likely as Sanders to win a plurality of pledged delegates, according to our primary model, which gives him a 65 percent chance of doing so compared with a 34 percent chance for Sanders. This represents the culmination of a trend that has been underway in the model for about a week; it started to shift toward Biden once polls showed the potential for him to win big in South Carolina — and it anticipated a polling bounce in the Super Tuesday states if he did win big there. Still, even after South Carolina, Biden's plurality chances had risen only to 32 percent, compared with 64 percent for Sanders. That means the polling bounce from the events of the past few days has been bigger than the model anticipated."


https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/our-final-forecast-for-super-tuesday-shows-bidens-surge-and-lots-of-uncertainty/

[SimonNZ]

From this distance it saddens me that Elizabeth Warren is being forgotten.

[Karl Henning]

From this distance it saddens me that Elizabeth Warren is being forgotten.

She's one of my US Senators, and I like her; but it does seem that the race this time has looped around her.  Down the road, perhaps she'll be the first female President.


Some political/governance seasoning will serve her well.

[Karl Henning]

Want to Know Who Won Super Tuesday? Get Ready to Wait.

[drogulus]

     It's looking very good for Biden. He won N. Carolina and Virginia by monstrous margins, over 30% above Sanders.

     I read the numbers wrong, but it's still a big win in both states.

[drogulus]

     It should be pointed out that Biden has not attracted lots of money up to now. If he wins it will be because his appeal may be shallow but it's very wide. He is insanely easy to vote for as the last, best hope of humanity against the Alien Infestation.

[Karl Henning]

Don't get me wrong, Bernie may well be fine for Vermont ....

[Karl Henning]

Tennessee for Biden.

[Karl Henning]

So far, Biden appears stronger in Mass. than Bernie.  They're neck-&-neck in Maine, though.

[Karl Henning]

Minnesota to Biden. Colorado to Bernie.

[Karl Henning]

Warren at a disappointing 3rd here in Mass.

https://www.vox.com/2020/3/3/21161603/bernie-sanders-beat-elizabeth-warren-in-massachusetts

[Karl Henning]

"The Associated Press is being aggressive and has called California for Sanders just as polls there close."

[Karl Henning]

Arkansas & Oklahoma to Biden.

[Herman]

I guess Warren will bow out soon, which is also sad because McKinnon's impressions on SNL were really amusing.

[71 dB]

Super Tuesday (super Thursday for dementia Biden) was a huge disappointment! If this continue, Biden wins the nomination, loses to Trump and the US becomes TOTAL shithole country. I had hope, but I might have been naive. Bernie can still win, if miracles happen, but I'm affraid this process kills all my hope. I will be just an ultracynical person with VERY LITTLE reason to live. You can dislike and belittle me all you want, but don't be surprise if you don't see joy in me. The world killed it in me.

[Karl Henning]

Joe Biden Just Performed a Miracle